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Charlotte FC vs New York City FC Odds, Spread, and Total

Who’ll boot the winning strike to send Charlotte or New York to the MLS Eastern Conference semifinals, be it during 11-on-11 play or in another tiebreaker? We’ll find out when…

Justin Haak #80 of the New York City and Idan Toklomati #17 of Charlotte FC fight for control of the ball during their 2025 MLS Cup Playoff match. (Ira L. Black/Getty Images)
Ira L. Black/Getty Images

Who'll boot the winning strike to send Charlotte or New York to the MLS Eastern Conference semifinals, be it during 11-on-11 play or in another tiebreaker? We'll find out when the Crown host the Pigeons in Friday night's deciding third match, set to begin inside Bank of America Stadium at 7 p.m. EST. 

Charlotte FC and New York City FC are determined not to let one another score goals. A nearly scoreless first two games in the MLS Cup conference quarterfinal series has led to NYCFC squeaking by 1-0 on Alonso Martinez's first-half goal from Oct. 28, and Charlotte prevailing via a tiebreaker on Saturday.

Charlotte is pleased to be hosting this weekend's rubber match between No. 4 and No. 5 conference seeds. However, it's notable that visiting NYCFC has gone a terrific 5-1 in its last six road games. 

Spread

  • Charlotte FC - 1 (+350)
  • New York City FC +1 (-182)

Money line

  • Charlotte FC +145
  • New York City FC +190
  • Draw +220

Total

  • Over 2.5 (-112)
  • Under 2.5 (-108)

Note: The above data was collected on Nov. 7, 2025, and may have changed since writing. 

  • Charlotte FC has lost just four times in 19 matches across competitions. 
  • Totals have gone under in each of Charlotte's last four appearances.
  • New York City FC has gone 5-1-0 in its last six MLS road games. 

Charlotte FC vs New York City FC Injury Reports

Charlotte FC 

  • Forward Nimfasha Berchimas is out on national team duty.
  • Midfielder Pep Biel is out with a knee injury.

New York City FC

  • Midfielder Maximo Carrizo is out on national team duty.
  • Forward Malachi Jones is out with a leg injury.
  • Midfielder Keaton Parks is out with a leg injury.

Charlotte FC vs New York City FC Predictions and Picks 

The betting pundit Alex Dudley of Vegas Odds is unusually harsh toward NYCFC in a "neutral" preview printed on Wednesday, arguing that New York City has already blown its chance by not forcing the issue in the second game at home. NYCFC "only had themselves to blame in that eventual defeat, as they dominated the ball throughout … Charlotte (as) been excellent in home matches (in 2025)." 

But what about New York City's impressive road form? Martinez is the type of striker who can get his goals in any scenario, and meanwhile, the Pigeons back line has allowed just four goals in NYCFC's last five league dates on the road. Charlotte has been outpaced in on-target shots in both playoff contests. 

Given each team's staid tactics, Friday's most likely outcome involves another tiebreaker finish, making the draw bet into an effective pick. Remember, it doesn't have to be a scoreless game for the bet to win. Charlotte's veteran keeper Kristijan Kahlina has shown that he can shake off a letdown quickly and restrain New York to a one-goal lead if necessary, giving Idan Toklomati time to hunt an equalizer.